Excess rice supply is weighing heavy on the U.S. rice market. What’s behind the current rice price weakness for U.S. long grain rice?
• USDA estimates record 2004 U.S. all rice production and supply at 231 million hundredweight and 268 million hundredweight respectively and ending stocks at 40.1 million hundredweight, the largest since 1986. U.S. all rice production is 21 percent larger than 2000 production.
• USDA estimates record 2004 U.S. long grain rice production at 169 million hundredweight and the second largest supply at 190 million hundredweight. Ending stocks are estimated at 22.5 million hundredweight, the second largest since 1986.
• Asian export competitors and Latin American rice producers are currently in varying stages of harvest. With 2004-05 world milled rice production at 402.1 million metric tons, the second largest on record, short-term potential for new export business (especially in Latin America where ending stocks are the second largest in the past five marketing periods) is limited.
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